Xikombiso: Oscar’s Grind
Yuniti yin'we ehenhla endzhaku ka ku hlula, mali ya xibejo leyi fanaka endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa, yimisa ntsendzeleko loko u ri emahlweni hi yuniti yin'we. Sisiteme yo nonoka ku tlula hinkwato, eka marhendzeleko ya dzana.
Sesheni ya simulexini ya Oscar’s Grind ya marhendzeleko ya 100 hi $10 eka yuniti eka yo ntimaxibejoYo ntimaXibejo xa mali yo ringana eka tinomboro ta 18 to ntima. Hi Xifurwa: noir.Hlaya hinkwaswo →. Mitsendzeleko ya nhungu yi pfariwile hi +$10 un'wana na un'wana, wun'we wa yona endzhaku ka marhendzeleko ya 41, mali ya xibejo ya $50 na ku hunguteka ka mali ka $230; wa vukaye a wa ha pfulekile eka −$140 loko sesheni yi hela. Hinkwaswo −$60. Ku hambana-hambana kutsongo, a ku na xidziva, vuyelo bya khasino byi fana.
Famba eka sisiteme
Ku lahlekeriwa ku hlayisa mali ya xibejo. Ku hlula ku engetela yuniti yin'we, kambe ku nga tluli leswi xirhendzevutana xi swi lavaka ku fika eka +1. Eka +1 xirhendzevutana lexintshwa xa sungula.
Mali ya swibejo na mimbuyelo swi le ka tiyuniti ta xibejo xa le hansi.
Kungu
Bheja yunitimaliYunitiMali ya xibejo ya xisekelo leyi sisiteme kumbe mutlangi a tirhaka ha yona. Ntlhandlamano wa swibejo wu hlamuseriwa hi tiyuniti leswaku wu tirha eka tafula rin'wana na rin'wana.Hlaya hinkwaswo → yin'we. Endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa, bheja leswi fanaka nakambe. Endzhaku ka ku hlula, tlakusa hi yuniti yin'we, handle ka loko ku tlakusa koloko ku ta yisa ntsendzeleko ehenhla ka +1 yuniti; hi xiyimo xexo bheja ntsena leswi lavekaka ku heta hi ku kongoma eka +1. Loko ntsendzeleko wu ri emahlweni hi yuniti yin'we, sungula nakambe hi yuniti yin'we. Mali ya xibejo yi tlakuka ntsena loko u hlula, hikwalaho ku landzelelana ka ku lahlekeriwa a ku yi kurisi; ntirho wo tika wu huma eka leswaku u lava ku hlula ku landzelelana leswaku u huma ekheleni leri cheriweke hi mali ntsongo ya xibejo.
Marhendzeleko 1–30
Mitsendzeleko ya mune yi pfariwile. Lowo leha ku tlula hinkwayo wu teke marhendzeleko ya khume-n'we: L L L (−$30 hi $10), H (−$20, mali ya xibejo yi ya eka $20), L L (−$60), H (−$40, mali ya xibejo yi ya eka $30), H (−$10; ku tlakusela eka $40 a ku ta tlula, hikwalaho mali ya xibejo i $20), L (−$30), H (−$10), H: ntsendzeleko eka +$10, wu pfariwile. Mpindzulo endzhaku ka marhendzeleko ya 30 +$40. Mali ya swibejo a yi tlulanga $30. I sisiteme leyi tsakisaka swinene ku tlula hinkwato eka website, naswona leswi i ku dzunisa.
Marhendzeleko 31–71
Ntsendzeleko wo leha. Ku lahlekeriwa ka nhungu eka marhendzeleko ya khume yo sungula ku chele −$50. Ku hlula ku tlakuse mali ya xibejo ku ya eka $20, $30, $40, $50; ku lahlekeriwa hi mali yoleyo ya xibejo ku chele ku ya ehansi, ku fika eka −$230 eka rhendzeleko 52. Ku suka kona nkarhi lowunene, ku hlula ka khume-n'we eka marhendzeleko ya khume-tsevu hi mali ya swibejo ya $40–$50, ku tlhelele ehenhla, naswona ntsendzeleko wu pfariwile eka rhendzeleko 71 hi +$10. Marhendzeleko ya makume mune n'we, $230 ekhombyeni eka ndhawu yo biha ku tlula hinkwato, yuniti yin'we leyi kumiweke.
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- xikarhi (median) −$1,000
- p75 +$710
- p90 +$880
Marhendzeleko 72–100
Mitsendzeleko yin'wana ya nharhu yi pfariwile, wun'we wu tshikiwile eka rhendzeleko 100 wu ri eka −$140 hi mali ya xibejo ya $30. Makumu −$60: mitsendzeleko ya nhungu hi +$10 na ntsendzeleko wun'we lowu pfulekeke eka −$140 (ntsendzeleko lowu pfulekeke i ndlela leyi tolovelekeke leyi sesheni ya Oscar yi helaka ha yona, hikuva mitsendzeleko yi leha).
Tibuku ta mali
Xiringaniso xa mali ya xibejo i kwalomu ka $22, mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke kwalomu ka $2,200 loko ku pimanisiwa na $1,000 hi mpimo wun'we. Ku lahlekeriwa loku languteriweketinhlayoKu lahlekeriwa loku languteriwekeNtsengo lowu languteriweke wu andzisiwa hi mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke; mali ya xiringaniso leyi lahlekaka eka sesheni kumbe eka nkarhi wo karhi.Hlaya hinkwaswo → i $59; leswi humeleleke i −$60. Sesheni leyi welaka eka ntsengo wa yona lowu languteriweke, leswi Oscar’s Grind yi swi endlaka ngopfu ku tlula tisisiteme tin'wana hikuva ku hambana-hambanatinhlayoKu Hambana-hambana (Variance)Mpimo wa leswaku mimbuyelo yi hangalaka ku fikela kwihi ku rhendzela ntsengo lowu languteriweke. Wu tlakukile eka straight up, wu le hansi eka swibejo swa mali yo ringana.Hlaya hinkwaswo → ka yona i kutsongo: mali ya xibejo yi kula ntsena loko hi hlula, naswona a yi phindhiwi kambirhi.
Leswi sesheni yi swi kombaka
Oscar’s Grind i sisiteme leyi endliweke hi munhu loyi a a twisisile leti tin'wana. A yi na xidziva, mali ya xibejo yi tshama yi ri ntsongo, naswona yi tisa ku landzelelana ko leha ka ku hlula kutsongo. Nxavo i nkarhi: mitsendzeleko yi nga teka marhendzeleko ya makume mune, naswona mpindzulo wa yuniti yin'we eku heteleleni wu xaviwe hi ku hunguteka ka malimaliKu hunguteka ka maliKu wa ku suka eka nhlohlorhi ya mali ya ku tlanga ku ya eka ehansi ka le ndzhaku eka sesheni yin'we. Ku hunguteka lokukulu swinene i ku wa lokukulu ka muxaka lowu.Hlaya hinkwaswo → loku nga makume mambirhi wa vukulu bya wona. Ku lahlekeriwa loku languteriweke eka dolara yin'wana na yin'wana leyi bhejiweke i 2.70%, naswona ntirho lowu wo nonoka wu engetela tidolara.
Swivutiso
Mutlangi wa craps loyi a hlamuseriweke hi Allan Wilson eka The Casino Gambler’s Guide (1965). Sisiteme yi khale ku tlula vito.
Swi vula leswaku mbuyelo wa wena wu ta va kusuhi na ntsengo lowu languteriweke. Ntsengo lowu languteriweke i wa le hansi ka zero. Ku hambana-hambana kutsongo i swinene loko u lava nxavo lowu tivekaka wa madyambu, naswona swi bihile loko u lava nkoteko wa ku hlula swikulu.
Mali ya ku tlangamaliMali ya ku tlangaMali hinkwayo leyi hlayiseriweke ku tlanga. Ku lawula mali ya ku tlanga i ku boha leswaku u ta yi veka engozini ku fika kwihi hi xibejo na hi sesheni.Hlaya hinkwaswo → ya wena kumbe ku lehisa mbilu ka wena. Sisiteme a yi na nawu wo yima; mutlangi u fanele ku tisa wa yena.
Ku hlekisa katsongo
Ndlela yo nonoka ku tlula hinkwato yo lahlekeriwa hi 2.70%. Naswona i leyi rhuleke ku tlula hinkwato.
Swihlovo
- Wilson, A. The Casino Gambler’s Guide.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.