Xikombiso: Ku Bheja Xiphemu
“Khume-nkombo na vaakelani”, tichipi ta ntlhanu nkarhi wun'wana na wun'wana, ku ringana awara. Leswi sesheni ya xiphemu xa vhilwa yi twalaka ha kona ni leswi yi durhaka swona.
Sesheni ya simulexini ya marhendzeleko ya 50 ya tichipi ta ntlhanu ta $2 eka 2-25-17-34-6, xiphemu xa tikhamara ta ntlhanu lexi rhendzeleke 17. Ku tlhava ka nkombo eka marhendzeleko ya 50, mpindzulo +$4 endzhaku ka loko hi ri ehansi hi $120. Swibejo swa ntlhanu swa straight up leswi nga na xitori, naswona xitori a xi cinci nchumu.
Kungu
Tivisa “khume-nkombo na vaakelanixibejoVaakelaniNomboro na tikhamara timbirhi eka tlhelo rin'wana na rin'wana ra yona eka vhilwa, tichipi ta ntlhanu ta straight up.Hlaya hinkwaswo →” kumbe u kokovota 17 eka racetracktafulaRacetrackXiphemu xa oval eka mimepe ya matafula yo kongoma na ya elekitroniki lexi kombisaka tinomboro hi ku landzelelana ka vhilwa, xi tirhisiwa ku veka swibejo swa vaakelani na swa swiphemu hi ku khumba kan'we.Hlaya hinkwaswo → (ndlela yo rhendzeleka ya swibejo swa swiphemu): $2 eka yin'wana na yin'wana ya 2, 25, 17, 34 na 6, tikhamaraswitirhisiwaKhamaraYin'we ya tikhamara ta 37 leti nga na tinomboro eka rotor. Nakambe: slot, cup.Hlaya hinkwaswo → ta ntlhanu leti landzelelanaka leti rhendzeleke 17 eka vhilwa. $10 eka rhendzeleko. Ku tlhava ku hakela 35 × $2 = $70 eka chipimaliChipiXikombiso lexi yimelaka mali leyi vekiweke, lexi vekiwaka eka mepe wa tafula ku endla xibejo. Nakambe: check.Hlaya hinkwaswo → yin'we naswona ku lahlekeriwa hi leti tin'wana ta mune: +$62. Ku hamba ku lahlekeriwa hi $10. NkotekotinhlayoNkotekoNkoteko wa mbuyelo, ku suka eka 0 ku ya eka 1 kumbe 0% ku ya eka 100%. Nomboro yin'we: 1/37 = 2.70%.Hlaya hinkwaswo → wa ku tlhava i 5/37 = 13.51%: kwalomu ka rhendzeleko rin'we eka 7.4. Mbuyelo lowu languteriweke eka marhendzeleko ya 50: −$13.51.
Marhendzeleko 1–15
Ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku hamba, ku tlhava (34), ku hamba, ku hamba. Ku tlhava kun'we eka khume-ntlhanu; ehansi hi $120 eka rhendzeleko 12, kutani +$62 eka rhendzeleko 13, ehansi hi $78 endzhaku ka khume-ntlhanu. Nkoteko wa ku hamba ka khume-mbirhi hi ku landzelelana ku sukela eku sunguleni i (32/37)¹² ≈ 17%. I ntolovelo wa mubheji wa xiphemuvhilwaXiphemuXiphemu xa tikhamara leti tshamaka kusuhi eka vhilwa, hi ku hambana na ntlawa eka mepe wa tafula.Hlaya hinkwaswo →.
Marhendzeleko 16–50
Ku tlhava kunharhu eka xiphemu xa vumbirhi, kumbirhi eka xa vunharhu, kun'we eka marhendzeleko ya ntlhanu yo hetelela. Ku tlhava ka nkombo eka marhendzeleko ya makume ntlhanu, loko leswi languteriweke ku ri 6.76: mpimo wa ku tlhava lowu nga xiringaniso hi ku helela, na mbuyelo wa +$4 lowu nga xikweleti hinkwaxo eka ku tlhava loku fikeke hi ntlhandlamano lowu olovaka. Loko ku tlhava ko hetelela a ku fike rhendzeleko rin'we endzhaku, a hi ta huma hi −$68. Loko 17 a yi tlhavile kan'we nakambe, +$76. Ku hambana-hambanatinhlayoKu Hambana-hambana (Variance)Mpimo wa leswaku mimbuyelo yi hangalaka ku fikela kwihi ku rhendzela ntsengo lowu languteriweke. Wu tlakukile eka straight up, wu le hansi eka swibejo swa mali yo ringana.Hlaya hinkwaswo → eka xibejo xa 13.5% eka marhendzeleko ya 50 i kukulu loko ku pimanisiwa na ku lahlekeriwa loku languteriweketinhlayoKu lahlekeriwa loku languteriwekeNtsengo lowu languteriweke wu andzisiwa hi mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke; mali ya xiringaniso leyi lahlekaka eka sesheni kumbe eka nkarhi wo karhi.Hlaya hinkwaswo → ka $13.51: ku hambuka loku tolovelekeketinhlayoKu hambuka loku tolovelekekeRimitsu ra xikwere ra ku hambana-hambana; mpfhuka lowu tolovelekeke exikarhi ka mbuyelo na ntsengo lowu languteriweke.Hlaya hinkwaswo → ka mbuyelo i kwalomu ka $175.
- p10 −$300
- p25 −$300
- xikarhi (median) −$300
- p75 −$300
- p90 +$760
Hikokwalaho ka yini xiphemu
Hikuva i xiphemu xa xiviri xa vhilwa, lexi nga na nkoka ntsena loko vhilwa ri tshekela eka xiphemu xexo, naswona a hi na vumbhoni bya sweswo. Loko ku nga ri na ku tsheka, xibejo xa xiphemu i swibejo swa ntlhanu swa straight upxibejoStraight upNomboro yin'we, yi hakela 35:1.Hlaya hinkwaswo → leswi nga yelanangiki: vuyelo bya khasino byi fana, hakelomaliHakeloLeswi xibejo lexi hluleke xi swi vuyisaka, swi vuriwa tanihi “X eka 1” ehenhla ka mali ya xibejo leyi vuyisiweke.Hlaya hinkwaswo → yi fana, mpimo wu fana na 2, 25, 17, 34 na 6 leti hlawuriweke hikuva a ku ri masiku ya ku velekiwa ka munhu wo karhi. Racetrack yi endla leswaku xi vekiwa hi ku hatlisa naswona yi nyika madyambu xitori. Tinhlayo a ti hlayi switori.
Leswi mutlangi wa ku tsheka a a ta swi endla hi ndlela yin'wana
A a ta rhanga a tsala magidi ya marhendzeleko ya vhilwa leri hi ku kongoma, a kuma xiphemu lexi tlhavaka ehenhla ka 5/37 eka tisampulu timbirhi leti tiyimeleke, kutani a xi bheja hi mali ya xibejo leyi pimiweke hi vuyelo lebyi pimiweke. Ku tlhava ka hina ka nkombo eka marhendzeleko ya makume ntlhanu a hi vumbhoni bya nchumu; tluka ra vukulu bya sampulu eka Laborotari ri vula leswaku a hi ta lava marhendzeleko yo tala hi ka dzana leswaku hi vula loko xiphemu lexi xi hisa. Hi xi bhejile hikuva 17 i nomboro yo saseka, leswi nga xivangelo lexi fanaka xa un'wana na un'wana.
Swivutiso
Swa fana, handle ka loko vhilwa ri tshekela eka xiphemu xexo, leswi lavaka magidi ya marhendzeleko leswaku swi tiveka.
Tafula ra $10 na xibejo xa ritotafulaXibejo xa ritoXibejo lexi vuriwaka eka dilara ematshan'weni yo vekiwa hi voko, hi ku tolovela xibejo xa xiphemu xa vhilwa xo fana na voisins kumbe tiers. Nakambe “xibejo lexi tivisiweke”.Hlaya hinkwaswo → xa tichipi ta ntlhanu. Ndzilakano wa le hansi wa swibejo swa le ndzeni wu tirha eka nhlayo hinkwayo.
“Hi 3” swi veka tichipi ta nkombo leti funengetaka tikhamara ta nkombo hi 18.9%. Vuyelo bya khasino byi fana, riendzo ri olova.
Ku hlekisa katsongo
Swibejo swa ntlhanu swa straight up leswi nga na xitori. Vhilwa a ri hlayi.
Swihlovo
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.