Matimu na Ndhavuko · Matimu · timinete 9

Matimu ya Tisisiteme ta Roulette

Malembe-xidzana mambirhi ya vanhu lava tsalaka milawu ya ku cinca mali ya xibejo xa vona.

Nhlamulo yo koma

Martingale i ya lembe-xidzana ra vu-18; D’Alembert yi thyiwe vito ra mutivi wa tinhlayo loyi a a nga yi rhandzi; Labouchère a ku ri ntirho wa ku hungasa wa mupolitiki wa nkarhi wa Victoria. Ku hava na yin'we leyi a yi tirha hi nkarhi wolowo.

Martingale
lembe-xidzana ra vu-18, Furwa
D’Alembert
endzhaku ka 1717–1783
Labouchère
lembe-xidzana ra vu-19, Nghilandi
xikambelo xo sungula hi khompyuta
malembe ya 1950

Martingale

Vito leri ri huma eka rito ra vagembuli ra Xiprovençal (à la martegalo, “hi ndlela ya vanhu va Martigues”, lava a va tiviwa hi ku nga tivoneli) ra xibejo lexi phindhiwaka kambirhi, leri tsariweke eka tidikixinari ta Xifurwa ku sukela eka malembe ya 1760. Thorp (1984), a landzela American Heritage Dictionary, u nyika nhlamuselo ya vumbirhi ya ndhavuko: vanhu va Martigues a va hlekuriwa hikwalaho ka mikhuva yo hlamarisa, yin'wana ya yona ku boha marhokho ya vona endzhaku, hikwalaho xivulwa lexi xi kume nhlamuselo ya leswaku “hi ndlela yo hlekisa”. A ku ri xitori xa xitsundzuxo eParis hi lembe-xidzana ra vu-18: Casanova u hlamusela ndlela leyi a lahlekeriweke hi rifuwo hakona hi ku phindha kambirhi eka faro eVenice eka malembe ya 1750. Tinhlayo leti kombisaka leswaku ha yini yi tsandzeka, ndzilakano wa tafulatafulaNdzilakano wa tafulaXibejo xa le hansi na xa le henhla lexi pfumeleriweke. Ndzilakano wa le henhla hi wona lowu yimisaka ntlhandlamano wa ku phindha kambirhi.Hlaya hinkwaswo → na mali ya ku tlangamaliMali ya ku tlangaMali hinkwayo leyi hlayiseriweke ku tlanga. Ku lawula mali ya ku tlanga i ku boha leswaku u ta yi veka engozini ku fika kwihi hi xibejo na hi sesheni.Hlaya hinkwaswo → leyi nga na makumu, a ti twisisiwa hi malembe ya 1770. Eka thiyori ya nkotekotinhlayoNkotekoNkoteko wa mbuyelo, ku suka eka 0 ku ya eka 1 kumbe 0% ku ya eka 100%. Nomboro yin'we: 1/37 = 2.70%.Hlaya hinkwaswo →, “martingaleqhingaMartingaleNtlhandlamano wa swibejo lowu phindhaka xibejo kambirhi endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa kun'wana na kun'wana. Languta xiyenge xa Maqhinga ku vona leswi wu swi endlaka na leswi wu nga swi endliki.Hlaya hinkwaswo →” ri hundzuke rito ra xithekiniki eka malembe ya 1930 ra ntlangu wo lulamatinhlayoNtlangu wo lulamaNtlangu lowu ku nga riki na tlhelo leri nga na vuyelo: xibejo xin'wana na xin'wana xi na ntsengo lowu languteriweke wa zero.Hlaya hinkwaswo →, hi swona leswi Martingale ya roulette yi nga riki swona.

Eka faro eVenice mutlangi u phindha kambirhi endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa, hilaha Casanova a endleke hakona.

Swindzilakano swa Tafula ra Roulette

D’Alembert

Jean le Rond d’Alembert u vule eka Encyclopédie (1754) leswaku endzhaku ka ku landzelelana ka nhloko, n'wala wu va na nkoteko lowukulu, ku nga xivulwa xa khale xa xihoxo xa mugembuli hi mutivi wa tinhlayo wo tiveka. Sisiteme ya ku bheja leyi engetelaka yunitimaliYunitiMali ya xibejo ya xisekelo leyi sisiteme kumbe mutlangi a tirhaka ha yona. Ntlhandlamano wa swibejo wu hlamuseriwa hi tiyuniti leswaku wu tirha eka tafula rin'wana na rin'wana.Hlaya hinkwaswo → yin'we endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa yi tlhela yi susa yin'we endzhaku ka ku hlula yi thyiwe vito ra yena hi vagembuli va le ndzhaku lava a va pfumela leswi fanaka. A nga yi ringanyetanga, naswona, eka masiku ya yena lamanene, a a ta va a yi arile.

Qhinga ra D'Alembert eka Roulette

Labouchère

Henry LabouchèreqhingaLabouchèreSisiteme yo tima: tsala layini ya tinomboro, bheja nhlanganelo wa makumu mambirhi, ma tima endzhaku ko hlula, engetela mali ya xibejo leyi lahlekeke endzhaku ko lahlekeriwa.Hlaya hinkwaswo → (1831–1912), muteki wa mahungu, n'wini wa thiyetara na xirho xa palamende xa Liberal, u dumise sisiteme ya ku tsema exikarhi ka vanhu va xiyimo xa le henhla eLondon eka malembe ya 1870, naswona ku vikiwa leswaku u yi tirhisile eMonte Carlo. Maendlelo lawa, ku tsala layini ya tinomboro u bheja hi ntsengo wa makumu ya yona, ma sungule a nga si va kona. Vito ra yena ri namarhele hikuva a a dumile hi swin'wana, naswona hikuva sisiteme leyi yi na xihlawulekisi xo ka xi nga talangi xa leswaku hakanyingi ya tirha, leswi yi endleke mhaka yo vulavuriwa eka swakudya swa nimadyambu.

Tisisiteme na vanhu lava ti thyiweke mavito ya vona
Malembe ya 1750

Casanova u lahlekeriwa hi ku phindha kambirhi eka faro. Martingale yi se yi ri ya khale.

1754

D’Alembert u kandziyisa xihoxo lexi endzhaku xi thyiweke vito ra yena tanihi sisiteme.

Malembe ya 1760

“Martingale” yi nghena eka tidikixinari ta Xifurwa tanihi rito ra vagembuli.

Malembe ya 1870

Labouchère u dumisa ku tsema eLondon.

Malembe ya 1890

Ntlhandlamano wa Fibonacci na wa Paroli wu humelela eka tibuku ta swiletelo swa ku gembula.

Malembe ya 1900

Tisisiteme ta “swiphemu” leti simekiweke eka ntlhandlamano wa vhilwa ti xavisiwa hi poso.

1939

Halmos, xichudeni xa Doob, u kombisa leswaku a ku na sisiteme ya ku bheja leyi nga hundzulaka ntlangu lowu nga pfuniki mutlangi wu va lowu n'wi pfunaka.

Malembe ya 1950–60

Tikhompyuta ti endla simulexini ya sisiteme yin'wana ni yin'wana. Hinkwato ti kombisa −1/37 wa mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke.

namuntlha

Tisisiteme leti fanaka ti xavisiwa eka inthanete ti ri na mimbuyelo leyi fanaka, naswona ti endleriwa simulexini eka burawuza eka sayiti leyi.

Roulette ya Monte CarloQhinga ra Labouchère eka Roulette

Lembe-xidzana ra vu-20

FibonacciqhingaFibonacciNtlhandlamano wa swibejo lowu landzelaka nxaxamelo 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: goza rin'we emahlweni endzhaku ko lahlekeriwa, magoza mambirhi endzhaku endzhaku ko hlula.Hlaya hinkwaswo → na ParoliqhingaParoliNtlhandlamano wa ku hlula: phindha kambirhi endzhaku ko hlula, sungula nakambe endzhaku ko lahlekeriwa kumbe endzhaku ko hlula kanharhu hi ku landzelelana. Nakambe: Martingale leyi hundzulukeke.Hlaya hinkwaswo → swi nghene eka tibuku ta swiletelo swa ku gembula kwalomu ka 1900. Exikarhi ka lembe-xidzana ku te tisisiteme leti xavisiwaka hi poso, yin'wana ni yin'wana yi ri na vumbhoni bya vanhu na xitshembiso xa ku tlheriseriwa mali, ni tisimulexini to sungula ta tikhompyuta, leti kombiseke leswi tinhlayo a ti se ti swi vurile. Vumbhoni bya leswaku a ku na sisiteme leyi nga tirhaka a byi ri kona: Joseph Doob (1936) na Paul Halmos (1939) va kombise leswaku a ku na nawu wa ku hlawula nkarhi na mpimo wa ku bheja lowu cincaka mbuyelo lowu languteriweke wa ntlangu wo lulama kumbe lowu nga pfuniki mutlangi, naswona nxopaxopo wa Thorp wa 1969 wu hlamusele swipimelo leswi hi ndlela leyi vagembuli va swi hlanganaka ha yona. Ku sukela hi nkarhi wolowo tisisiteme a ti cincanga; ku tinyungubyisa ka tona ntsena hi kona ku sukeke eka timbuku-ntsongo ku ya eka tivhidiyo.

Mufambisi u kambela sisiteme leyi xavisiweke hi poso hi simulexini ya khompyuta, kutani layini yi ya ehansi ntsena.

Ntsheketo: Qhinga ra Roulette leri Hlulaka Minkarhi HinkwayoQhinga ra Fibonacci eka Roulette

Ha yini ti ya emahlweni ti ri kona

Sisiteme yi nyika mutlangi nchumu wo endla na xitori xo xi hlamusela. Tisesheni to tala eka tisisiteme to tala ti hela hi ku hlula katsongo, leswi nga xitori lexinene ku tlula tinhlayo. Tisesheni leti lahlekeriwaka a ti talangi, naswona ti tsundzukiwa tanihi ku pfumaleka ka nkateko. Vaxavisi a va boheki ku hemba hi mpimo; va lava ntsena ku kombisa sesheni leyi hluleke, naswona ti tele. Nkaneto lowu lwisanaka na swona, 2.70% wa mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiwekemaliMali hinkwayo leyi bhejiwekeMali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke eka sesheni kumbe nkarhi wo karhi, ku katsa na mali leyi hluriweke leyi tlhela yi bhejiwa. Nakambe: handle, action.Hlaya hinkwaswo →, wu vile kona ku sukela hi 1843 naswona a wu si tshama wu khorwisa ku fana na vusiku bya nkateko.

sisitemelembe-xidzanaleswi a ku pfumeriwa leswaku yi swi endlaleswi yi swi endlaka
Martingalera vu-18ku tiyisisa ku hlula hi ku phindha kambirhiyi hlula katsongo nkarhi wo tala; yi lahlekeriwa ngopfu kan'we-kan'we; −2.70%
D’Alembertra vu-18–19ku tirhisa ku ringanela ka ku hlula na ku lahlekeriwamali ya xibejo yi tlhandluka hi ku olova; −2.70%
Labouchèrera vu-19ku tiyisisa ntsengo wa layinihakanyingi ya hela; minkarhi yin'wana yi kula yi nga lawuleki; −2.70%
Fibonaccira vu-19–20Martingale yo olovaku tlhandluka ka ku nonoka, ku wa loku leheke; −2.70%
Parolira vu-19–20ku khandziya tindzandzelelano ta ku hlulaku lahlekeriwa katsongo nkarhi wo tala, ku hlula ngopfu kan'we-kan'we; −2.70%
Tisisiteme ta swiphemura vu-20ku tirhisa ntlhandlamano wa vhilwaa ku na nchumu; −2.70%

Tisisiteme leti xavisiwaka

Bindzu ra lembe-xidzana ra vu-20 ri engetele makungu ya rona, rin'wana ni rin'wana ri ri ku hleleka lokuntshwa ka swibejo leswi fanaka leswi lahlekisaka. Phase One a yi xavisiwa hi $25 ku engetela 10% wa mali leyi muxavi a yi hluleke, ku tshembisiwa Phase Two loko $500 yi hakeriwile, ni “Inner Circle” hi $5,000. Ku hava na rin'we leri cincaka tinhlayo: ntsengo lowu languteriweketinhlayoNtsengo lowu languteriwekeMbuyelo wa xiringaniso hi xibejo hi nkarhi wo leha. −1/37 wa mali ya xibejo eka xibejo xin'wana na xin'wana xa ntolovelo xa le Yuropa.Hlaya hinkwaswo → wa ntlhandlamano wa swibejo i ntsengo wa mintsengo leyi languteriweke ya swona.

sisitememianakanyoleswi humelelaka hakunene
Phase Oneendzhaku ka tinomboro to tshuka ta ntlhanu, bheja eka yo ntima hi mpimo wa 5, 25, 70, 200, 500 na 1,000 wa tiyunitirhendzeleko ra vutsevu ri ha ri na nkoteko wa 18/38 wa yo tshuka; ku lahlekeriwa ka tsevu hi ku landzelelana, kwalomu ka 1 eka 47 eka vhilwa ra zero mbirhi, ku durha tiyuniti ta 1,800
Ku rindza tizerorindza marhendzeleko ya 40 ku nga humi 0 kumbe 00, kutani u bheja eka hinkwato timbirhi, u engetela yuniti yin'we endzhaku ka ku hoxa kun'wana ni kun'wanatizero a ti fanelanga ku huma: hinkwato timbirhi ti hoxa marhendzeleko ya 40 kwalomu ka kan'we eka nkaye, naswona rhendzeleko leri landzelaka ri ha ri 2 eka 38. Ku hoxa ka khume nakambe ku durha tiyuniti ta 110; ku humelela eka rhendzeleko ra vukhume-n'we ku nyika mpindzulo wa 264. Leswi swi endlaka ntsena i ku hunguta swibejo hi nkarhi wa ku rindza
Favored 5rindza kukondza tinomboro ta ntlhanu ti phindha, kutani u bheja eka tonantlhandlamano wun'wana ni wun'wana wa marhendzeleko wu na leswi phindhaka; eka vhilwa leri hlayisiweke kahle a swi vhumbi nchumu
Ku rhendzelekisa ROL / BEHswibejo swa mali yo ringana hi mpimo wun'we leswi cincanaka exikarhi ka yo tshuka, leyi nga ringaniki, ehansi na yo ntima, leyi ringanaka, ehenhlantlhandlamano wa swibejo swo tiyimela, xin'wana ni xin'wana xi ri na vuyelo bya khasino hinkwabyo
Sisiteme ya “Guaranteed” ya BartschellyLabouchère leyi hangalasaka ku lahlekeriwa kun'wana ni kun'wana eka tinomboro leti nga kona ematshan'wini ya ku ku engetela emakumulayini a yi tshami yi leha; kambe mali ya swibejo ya kula

Leyi nga riki sisiteme

Milawu ya ku yima: ku teka xiboho ka ha ri emahlweni xa leswaku u ta lahlekeriwa kumbe ku hlula hi mali yo tani kutani u famba. Hakanyingi yi xavisiwa tanihi xiphemu xa sisiteme, naswona hi xona ntsena xiphemu lexi endlaka nchumu, hikuva yi hunguta mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke. A yi thyiwanga vito ra munhu, leswi swi faneleke.

Swivutiso

Hi yihi sisiteme ya khale ngopfu?

Martingale, hi lembe-xidzana kumbe ku tlula. Ku phindha kambirhi endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa i mianakanyo yo sungula leyi munhu un'wana ni un'wana a va na yona.

Xana kona ku ni mutivi wa tinhlayo wo dumuka loyi a seketeleke sisiteme?

D’Alembert u tshinele ngopfu, hi xihoxo. Pascal, Fermat, Huygens, Bernoulli na Laplace hinkwavo va hlamusele leswaku ha yini ti tsandzeka.

Ha yini tisisiteme ta ha xaviseka?

Hikuva tisesheni to tala ta hlula, naswona vhidiyo ya sesheni leyi hluleke a yi durhi ku yi endla.

Ku hlekisa katsongo

Malembe-xidzana mambirhi ya mavito. Nomboro yin'we.

Malembe-xidzana mambirhi ya mavito. Nomboro yin'we.

Swihlovo

  1. Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.” Review of the International Statistical Institute 37(3), 1969.
  2. Thorp, E. O. The Mathematics of Gambling. Gambling Times / Lyle Stuart, 1984.
  3. Doob, J. L. “Note on probability.” Annals of Mathematics 37(2), 1936.
  4. Halmos, P. R. “Invariants of certain stochastic transformations: the mathematical theory of gambling systems.” Duke Mathematical Journal 5(2), 1939.
  5. d’Alembert, J. “Croix ou pile.” Encyclopédie, vol. 4, 1754.
  6. Schwartz, D. G. Roll the Bones: The History of Gambling. Gotham, 2006.
  7. Kavanagh, T. M. Dice, Cards, Wheels: A Different History of French Culture. University of Pennsylvania Press, 2005.
  8. Bollman, M. Mathematics of the Big Four Casino Table Games: Blackjack, Baccarat, Craps, & Roulette. CRC Press, 2021. Ndzima 2, roulette.
ku kamberiwile 2026-09-28modlolo: wa le Yuropa, zero yin'wemaendlelo ya ntirho ↗swihlovo ↗