Xikombiso: Ku Khandziya ka Fibonacci
Mali ya xibejo ya 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 eka yo ntimaxibejoYo ntimaXibejo xa mali yo ringana eka tinomboro ta 18 to ntima. Hi Xifurwa: noir.Hlaya hinkwaswo →, u tlhelela endzhaku hi magoza mambirhi endzhaku ka ku hlula. Martingale yo nonoka, ni ndlela leyi xidziva xa yona xi fikaka ha yona.
Sesheni ya simulexini ya Fibonacci ya marhendzeleko ya 90 hi $5 eka yuniti. Mitsendzeleko ya makume mambirhi yi hetiwile hi $5 un'wana na un'wana, nkarhi wun'we wo biha wu fike eka nomboro ya vukaye (mali ya xibejo ya $170) lowu siyeke sesheni yi ri ehansi hi $340. Yi olova ku tlula ku phindha kambirhi, ku fikela loko yi nga ha olovi.
Famba eka nxaxamelo
Ku lahlekeriwa ku ya goza rin'we exineneni. Ku hlula ku tlhelela endzhaku hi magoza mambirhi.
Mali ya swibejo na mimbuyelo swi le ka tiyuniti ta xibejo xa le hansi.
Kungu
Bheja nomboro yo sungula ya FibonacciqhingaFibonacciNtlhandlamano wa swibejo lowu landzelaka nxaxamelo 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: goza rin'we emahlweni endzhaku ko lahlekeriwa, magoza mambirhi endzhaku endzhaku ko hlula.Hlaya hinkwaswo →, $5. Endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa, famba goza rin'we exineneni eka ntlhandlamano. Endzhaku ka ku hlula, famba magoza mambirhi eximatsini. Ntsendzeleko wu hetiwa loko hi tlhelele eku sunguleni hi ri ehenhla hi yunitimaliYunitiMali ya xibejo ya xisekelo leyi sisiteme kumbe mutlangi a tirhaka ha yona. Ntlhandlamano wa swibejo wu hlamuseriwa hi tiyuniti leswaku wu tirha eka tafula rin'wana na rin'wana.Hlaya hinkwaswo → yin'we. Loko yi pimanisiwa na MartingaleqhingaMartingaleNtlhandlamano wa swibejo lowu phindhaka xibejo kambirhi endzhaku ka ku lahlekeriwa kun'wana na kun'wana. Languta xiyenge xa Maqhinga ku vona leswi wu swi endlaka na leswi wu nga swi endliki.Hlaya hinkwaswo →, mali ya xibejo yi kula hi ×1.6 ematshan'weni ya ×2, hikwalaho xidziva xi le kule naswona ku tlhelela ehenhla ku nonoka: ku hlula a ku heti ntsendzeleko, ku tlherisela endzhaku ntsena.
Marhendzeleko 1–40
Mitsendzeleko ya khume-n'we yi hetiwile, lowo leha ku tlula hinkwayo wu fike eka nomboro ya vuntlhanu ($25). Ntsendzeleko wun'wana na wun'wana lowu hetiweke wu nyika $5 hi ku kongoma; ku tsala tibuku swa tsakisa naswona mali ya swibejo yi tshame yi ri ntsongo. Mpindzulo +$55. Swi twala onge i Martingale leyi ku chava ku susiweke eka yona.
Marhendzeleko 41–70
Mitsendzeleko yin'wana ya ntlhanu yi hetiwa hi rhendzeleko 60 (+$25). Kutani ku ta ntsendzeleko lowu nga hetekiki. L L L L L L L H L L: mali ya swibejo 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (ku lahlekeriwa kunkombo, −$165), ku hlula hi $105 (+$105, tlhelela endzhaku hi magoza mambirhi eka $40), kutani ku lahlekeriwa kumbirhi eka $40 na $65. Sweswi hi le ka nomboro ya vunhungu, $105, hi ri na −$165 eka ntsendzeleko, naswona ku lahlekeriwa loku landzelaka a ku ta hi yisa eka $170 loko ndzilakano wa tafulatafulaNdzilakano wa tafulaXibejo xa le hansi na xa le henhla lexi pfumeleriweke. Ndzilakano wa le henhla hi wona lowu yimisaka ntlhandlamano wa ku phindha kambirhi.Hlaya hinkwaswo → wu ri $200. Mpindzulo eka xiphemu lexi −$140.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- xikarhi (median) −$500
- p75 +$390
- p90 +$480
Marhendzeleko 71–90
L L: $105 kutani $170 swi lahlekile, naswona ntsendzeleko wu le ka −$440. Mali ya xibejo leyi landzelaka a yi ta va $275, ehenhla ka ndzilakano, hikwalaho eka rhendzeleko 72 hi tshika ntsendzeleko hi sungula nakambe hi $5. Hi xona xidziva lexo. Marhendzeleko ya khume-nhungu lama saleke ma heta mitsendzeleko yin'wana ya mune. Makumu −$340; ndhawu ya le hansi ka mali ya ku tlangamaliMali ya ku tlangaMali hinkwayo leyi hlayiseriweke ku tlanga. Ku lawula mali ya ku tlanga i ku boha leswaku u ta yi veka engozini ku fika kwihi hi xibejo na hi sesheni.Hlaya hinkwaswo → a ku ri −$360.
Tibuku ta mali
Mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke kwalomu ka $1,200, loko ku pimanisiwa na $450 hi mpimo wun'we. Ku lahlekeriwa loku languteriweketinhlayoKu lahlekeriwa loku languteriwekeNtsengo lowu languteriweke wu andzisiwa hi mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke; mali ya xiringaniso leyi lahlekaka eka sesheni kumbe eka nkarhi wo karhi.Hlaya hinkwaswo → eka $1,200 i $32; leswi humeleleke, −$340, swi le hansi hi kwalomu ka ku hambuka loku tolovelekeketinhlayoKu hambuka loku tolovelekekeRimitsu ra xikwere ra ku hambana-hambana; mpfhuka lowu tolovelekeke exikarhi ka mbuyelo na ntsengo lowu languteriweke.Hlaya hinkwaswo → kun'we na hafu: sesheni yo biha, naswona i muxaka wa sesheni lowu Fibonacci yi wu endlaka kwalomu ka kan'we eka ntlhanu hi ku leha loku. Mitsendzeleko leyi hetiweke yi hakele $5 un'wana na un'wana; ntsendzeleko wo biha wu durhe leyi fanaka na makume nhungu nhungu ya yona.
Leswi sesheni yi swi kombaka
Fibonacci yi hangalasa xidziva xa Martingale eka marhendzeleko yo hlayanyana yi xi susumetela ekule, leswi yi endlaka yi va na khombo ritsongo kambe yi kanganyisa ku tlula: ntlhandlamano wa mali ya swibejo wu languteka wu twala ku fikela eka leyi nga twaliki. Ku lahlekeriwa loku languteriweke eka dolara yin'wana na yin'wana a ku cinci; mali hinkwayo leyi bhejiwekemaliMali hinkwayo leyi bhejiwekeMali hinkwayo leyi bhejiweke eka sesheni kumbe nkarhi wo karhi, ku katsa na mali leyi hluriweke leyi tlhela yi bhejiwa. Nakambe: handle, action.Hlaya hinkwaswo → leyi engetelekeke hi ku tlakuka hi kona mali yi yaka kona.
Swivutiso
Hikuva ku hlula eka nomboro n ku tlherisa ku lahlekeriwa eka tinomboro n−1 na n−2, leti hlanganisiweke ti ringanaka na yona. Ntlhandlamano wu akiwile hikwalaho ka nawu lowu.
Mali ya xibejo ya le henhla yi le hansi eka ku lahlekeriwa ka nhlayo leyi fanaka, hikwalaho ina, hi ndlela ya leswaku xidziva xi fika endzhaku. Ntsengo lowu languteriweke i wun'we.
Ya vukhume-mbirhi hi yuniti ya $5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, kutani 720.
Ku hlekisa katsongo
Mpimo wa nsuku i 1.618. Vuyelo bya khasino ha ha ri 2.70%.
Swihlovo
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.